Leading published SA comparisonA$7,799/MW

Estimated gross market revenue per MW

Energy + FCASA$866k

Estimated gross market revenue

Perfect-foresight energy capture74%

Compared with 55% for the tracked SA fleet

1–25 October 2026. Source: NEMPulse’s published South Australian comparison, accessed 26 October. Values are estimates, not audited profit.

A leading result, measured precisely

A battery’s opportunity changes with every forecast revision, dispatch interval and shift in available supply. Capturing it requires a clear view of the next price window and the uncertainty around it. Since September 2026, GridTrace Analytics has supported the trading of Templers BESS with tools designed to bring those decisions into focus.

For 1–25 October, Templers recorded the highest estimated revenue per MW among the 12 assets listed in NEMPulse’s South Australian table. It ranked second on total estimated revenue, behind Blyth. The comparison makes Templers a compelling example of strong battery trading performance, while keeping the metric and period explicit. View the external comparison ↗

The result belongs to the asset and reflects trading decisions, physical capability, market conditions and operating obligations. GridTrace’s role is to support the decisions with a clearer evidence base.

See the shape of the opportunity

The GridTrace spot forecast model provides a 24-hour price curve refreshed every five minutes, alongside actual dispatch prices and an AEMO predispatch comparison frozen at the forecast’s issue time.

That frozen comparison matters. Replacing an earlier forecast with a newer one can obscure what a trader knew at the decision point. Preserving the original view makes it easier to examine when an opportunity became visible, how expectations moved and where the forecast missed.

01 / Inside GridTraceSpot forecast model · South Australia
GridTrace’s South Australia price outlook: model, issue-time AEMO predispatch and observed dispatch prices for the 26 October midnight forecast. The input-availability notice is retained.
Actual product snapshot, captured 26 October 2026. Forecast issued at 00:00 AEST; observations fill as delivery occurs. This selected example illustrates the workflow, not a representative accuracy study or a reconstruction of Templers trades. The displayed issue lacked eligible ST PASA inputs; the effect on accuracy is unquantified.

For a battery team, the practical starting point is the shape of the next day: prospective charging windows, stronger-price periods and the rate at which those expectations change. The next step is to test the asset’s available energy, operating limits and commitments. The curve informs the judgement; the physical and commercial position determines what is feasible.

Keep the tails in the conversation

A central price path cannot express every outcome that matters. GridTrace’s Risk Radar adds a separate view of South Australian price-event probabilities across rolling 30-minute windows, through a 96-hour horizon.

It assesses the chance of at least one five-minute price at or above A$1,000/MWh, or at or below −A$100/MWh, within each window. Those probabilities are not price targets. Adjacent windows overlap and must not be added together.

02 / Inside GridTraceRisk Radar · Two sides of the price distribution
GridTrace Risk Radar snapshot dated 26 October 2026, showing separate high-price and negative-price probability lanes over four days, with the horizon start, end and coverage legend.
Actual product snapshot, 26 October 2026; NEM time is AEST (UTC+10). Each two-hour display bucket shows the peak individual-window probability. These are research forecasts, not realised events, guaranteed outcomes or trade instructions. The displayed horizon starts at the 22:50 AEST issue; the coverage legend remains visible.

Together, the two views help challenge a schedule before the market forces a decision. Does the possibility of a later event justify retaining flexibility? Does negative-price risk deserve closer attention? Has the opportunity moved enough to revisit the plan? These are examples of how the tools can be used, rather than claims about individual executed Templers trades.

Make review part of the trading process

HDRE describes Templers as a 111 MW / 330 MWh project commissioned on 5 December 2025. That scale makes disciplined evaluation valuable across everyday decisions as well as exceptional intervals. HDRE capital-markets update, page 2 ↗

GridTrace brings forecasting, event-risk assessment and review into one working environment. For owners and trading teams, the proposition is practical: clearer evidence before the decision, better visibility as conditions develop and a more useful record afterwards.

See the price path. Understand the risk around it. Make the next decision with context.